Liberty
Conference USA
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Southern Miss | 27–29 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs UAB | 14–21 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Wake Forest | 37–36 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Akron | 12–21 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Old Dominion | 24–38 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Massachusetts | 24–42 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs BYU | 14–41 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Arkansas | 19–21 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ UConn | 36–33 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Virginia Tech | 23–22 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs New Mexico State | 49–14 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Toledo | 21–19 | — | — |