Liberty
Conference USA
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ New Mexico State | 24–30 | 26.9–29.7 | 3.2 |
| Week 3 | vs UTEP | 10–28 | 21.0–32.9 | 6.1 |
| Week 4 | vs East Carolina | 24–35 | 26.3–27.6 | 9.7 |
| Week 7 | vs Florida International | 24–31 | 20.6–29.8 | 2.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Kennesaw State | 27–24 | 15.1–32.4 | 20.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Jacksonville State | 31–21 | 28.9–30.5 | 11.6 |
| Week 11 | @ Middle Tennessee | 17–37 | 25.2–30.9 | 14.3 |
| Week 12 | @ Massachusetts | 34–35 | 24.9–31.4 | 5.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Western Kentucky | 21–38 | 29.5–27.3 | 19.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Sam Houston | 20–18 | 25.3–25.7 | 2.4 |
| Week 1 | vs Buffalo | 26–7 | 21.0–32.6 | 30.5 |