2024 Week 9 · Oct 23, 2024, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Liberty @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreConfident
Liberty
32.4
Kennesaw State
15.1
Kennesaw State win probability: 13%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Liberty): -17.2 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 47.5 (80% range 27 to 70)
Actual: Liberty 24 – Kennesaw State 27 (margin error 20.2, total error 3.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 7 | 0.94% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.92% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 21 | 7 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.