2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 8:30 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Liberty @ Sam Houston
Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
25.7
Sam Houston
25.3
Sam Houston win probability: 49%
Margin (Sam Houston − Liberty): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Liberty 18 – Sam Houston 20 (margin error 2.4, total error 13.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.