2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 8:30 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Liberty @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreToss-up

Liberty

25.7

Sam Houston

25.3

Sam Houston win probability: 49%

Margin (Sam Houston − Liberty): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Liberty 18 – Sam Houston 20 (margin error 2.4, total error 13.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.