2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 5:00 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Liberty @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLean

Liberty

31.4

Massachusetts

24.9

Massachusetts win probability: 34%

Margin (Massachusetts − Liberty): -6.6 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Liberty 35 – Massachusetts 34 (margin error 5.6, total error 12.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.