2024 Week 7 · Oct 8, 2024, 11:00 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Florida International @ Liberty

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida International

20.6

Liberty

29.8

Liberty win probability: 72%

Margin (Liberty − Florida International): 9.2 (80% range -11 to 29)

Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Florida International 24 – Liberty 31 (margin error 2.2, total error 4.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.