Liberty
Conference USA
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Troy | 13–21 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Old Dominion | 17–45 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Syracuse | 24–21 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ UAB | 12–36 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Middle Tennessee | 13–41 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ UL Monroe | 31–28 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ North Texas | 26–35 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Massachusetts | 17–62 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Ole Miss | 27–14 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Louisiana | 42–14 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Army | 31–16 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Eastern Michigan | 20–56 | — | — |