Predicted scoreLikely
UTEP
21.0
Liberty
32.9
Liberty win probability: 78%
Margin (Liberty − UTEP): 11.9 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UTEP 10 – Liberty 28 (margin error 6.1, total error 15.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.