2024 Week 10 · Oct 30, 2024, 11:00 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Jacksonville State @ Liberty

Predicted scoreToss-up

Jacksonville State

28.9

Liberty

30.5

Liberty win probability: 54%

Margin (Liberty − Jacksonville State): 1.6 (80% range -20 to 23)

Total: 59.3 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Jacksonville State 31 – Liberty 21 (margin error 11.6, total error 7.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.