2026 Week 4 · Sep 24, 2026, 11:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
25.7
Coastal Carolina
24.8
Coastal Carolina win probability: 47%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − Liberty): -0.9 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:47 PM | -1.1 | 50.6 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:48 PM | -1.1 | 50.5 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:35 PM | -0.9 | 50.5 | 47% |