UTSA
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Texas A&M | 42–24 | 34.7–15.5 | 1.2 |
| Week 2 | vs Texas State | 43–36 | 28.5–27.1 | 5.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Colorado State | 16–17 | 26.7–27.8 | 0.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Temple | 27–21 | 23.2–30.9 | 13.7 |
| Week 7 | vs Rice | 13–61 | 20.8–30.3 | 38.5 |
| Week 8 | @ North Texas | 55–17 | 32.4–26.6 | 32.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Tulane | 26–48 | 27.2–23.8 | 25.4 |
| Week 11 | @ South Florida | 55–23 | 29.5–23.9 | 26.5 |
| Week 12 | @ Charlotte | 7–28 | 20.0–30.5 | 10.5 |
| Week 13 | vs East Carolina | 24–58 | 25.6–27.7 | 32.0 |
| Week 14 | vs Army | 27–24 | 21.2–26.8 | 8.7 |
| Week 1 | vs Florida International | 20–57 | 21.3–28.3 | 30.0 |