UTSA
American Athletic
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Colorado State | 23–14 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Arizona State | 32–28 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Old Dominion | 33–19 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Southern Miss | 32–55 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Rice | 13–14 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs UTEP | 52–49 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs North Texas | 17–31 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Middle Tennessee | 25–45 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | 63–35 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Texas A&M | 23–10 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Charlotte | 14–33 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs New Mexico | 23–20 | — | — |