UTSA
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Kennesaw State | 16–28 | 25.5–30.9 | 6.6 |
| Week 2 | @ Texas State | 49–10 | 19.9–29.4 | 48.5 |
| Week 3 | @ Texas | 56–7 | 37.4–13.1 | 24.6 |
| Week 5 | @ East Carolina | 30–20 | 24.4–23.6 | 9.2 |
| Week 7 | @ Rice | 29–27 | 21.2–24.5 | 5.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Florida Atlantic | 24–38 | 22.4–26.3 | 10.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Tulsa | 46–45 | 19.3–31.1 | 12.8 |
| Week 10 | vs Memphis | 36–44 | 28.6–24.9 | 11.7 |
| Week 12 | vs North Texas | 27–48 | 27.3–28.3 | 20.0 |
| Week 13 | vs Temple | 27–51 | 18.8–31.0 | 11.8 |
| Week 14 | @ Army | 29–24 | 27.7–18.1 | 4.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Coastal Carolina | 15–44 | 23.7–29.1 | 23.6 |