Predicted scoreToss-up
UTSA
24.5
Rice
21.2
Rice win probability: 41%
Margin (Rice − UTSA): -3.2 (80% range -22 to 16)
Total: 45.7 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: UTSA 27 – Rice 29 (margin error 5.2, total error 10.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.