UTSA
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Houston | 17–14 | 32.8–25.1 | 4.7 |
| Week 2 | vs Texas State | 13–20 | 21.9–29.7 | 0.8 |
| Week 3 | vs Army | 37–29 | 18.4–25.6 | 15.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Tennessee | 45–14 | 38.6–16.5 | 8.9 |
| Week 6 | @ Temple | 34–49 | 22.2–32.9 | 4.3 |
| Week 7 | vs UAB | 20–41 | 28.0–30.8 | 18.3 |
| Week 8 | @ Florida Atlantic | 10–36 | 27.5–26.4 | 27.1 |
| Week 9 | vs East Carolina | 27–41 | 22.7–32.3 | 4.4 |
| Week 10 | @ North Texas | 29–37 | 30.0–32.4 | 5.5 |
| Week 11 | vs Rice | 14–34 | 23.6–30.1 | 13.4 |
| Week 12 | vs South Florida | 21–49 | 23.7–33.1 | 18.6 |
| Week 13 | @ Tulane | 29–16 | 28.1–26.0 | 10.8 |
| Week 1 | @ Marshall | 17–35 | 23.0–23.9 | 17.0 |