2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
UTSA @ North Texas
Predicted scoreToss-up
UTSA
32.4
North Texas
30.0
North Texas win probability: 44%
Margin (North Texas − UTSA): -2.5 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 62.4 (80% range 37 to 89)
Actual: UTSA 37 – North Texas 29 (margin error 5.5, total error 3.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.