UTSA
American Athletic
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Illinois | 30–37 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Middle Tennessee | 13–27 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Memphis | 28–31 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs UNLV | 17–24 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Western Kentucky | 46–52 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Rice | 0–45 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Louisiana Tech | 16–45 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ UTEP | 23–44 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Southern Miss | 17–27 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs UAB | 31–34 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ North Texas | 45–23 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Western Kentucky | 41–49 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ San Diego State | 38–24 | — | — |