Predicted scoreLean
Rice
23.6
UTSA
30.1
UTSA win probability: 66%
Margin (UTSA − Rice): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Rice 14 – UTSA 34 (margin error 13.4, total error 5.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.