2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 7:30 PM · Alamodome
Kennesaw State @ UTSA
Predicted scoreLean
Kennesaw State
25.5
UTSA
30.9
UTSA win probability: 62%
Margin (UTSA − Kennesaw State): 5.4 (80% range -18 to 28)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 35 to 79)
Actual: Kennesaw State 16 – UTSA 28 (margin error 6.6, total error 12.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.40% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.39% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.39% |
| 27 | 31 | 0.38% |
| 17 | 27 | 0.36% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.