Predicted scoreLikely
UTSA
18.1
Army
27.7
Army win probability: 74%
Margin (Army − UTSA): 9.6 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 45.8 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: UTSA 24 – Army 29 (margin error 4.6, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.90% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.