Predicted scoreLikely
Temple
18.8
UTSA
31.0
UTSA win probability: 78%
Margin (UTSA − Temple): 12.2 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Temple 27 – UTSA 51 (margin error 11.8, total error 28.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.