2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 1:00 AM · Alamodome
North Texas @ UTSA
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
27.3
UTSA
28.3
UTSA win probability: 52%
Margin (UTSA − North Texas): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: North Texas 27 – UTSA 48 (margin error 20.0, total error 19.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.