2024 Postseason · Dec 23, 2024, 4:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

Coastal Carolina @ UTSA

Predicted scoreLean

Coastal Carolina

23.7

UTSA

29.1

UTSA win probability: 63%

Margin (UTSA − Coastal Carolina): 5.4 (80% range -14 to 25)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 15 – UTSA 44 (margin error 23.6, total error 6.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.