2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:00 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

UTSA @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

UTSA

13.1

Texas

37.4

Texas win probability: 94%

Margin (Texas − UTSA): 24.4 (80% range 4 to 45)

Total: 50.5 (80% range 29 to 73)

Actual: UTSA 7 – Texas 56 (margin error 24.6, total error 12.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.