Sam's Scores

2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 11:00 PM · Kyle Field

UTSA @ Texas A&M

Predicted scoreConfident
UTSA
15.5
Texas A&M
34.7
Texas A&M win probability: 89%
Margin (Texas A&MUTSA): 19.2 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: UTSA 24Texas A&M 42 (margin error 1.2, total error 15.8)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
14310.81%
10310.80%
14380.76%
10380.74%
7280.73%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →