Predicted scoreLean
UTSA
30.9
Temple
23.2
Temple win probability: 32%
Margin (Temple − UTSA): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UTSA 21 – Temple 27 (margin error 13.7, total error 6.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.