Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulane
27.2
UTSA
23.8
UTSA win probability: 41%
Margin (UTSA − Tulane): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Tulane 26 – UTSA 48 (margin error 25.4, total error 22.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.