Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
20.8
UTSA
30.3
UTSA win probability: 73%
Margin (UTSA − Rice): 9.5 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Rice 13 – UTSA 61 (margin error 38.5, total error 23.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 28 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.