UCF
Big 12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Kent State | 6–56 | 19.9–39.3 | 30.7 |
| Week 2 | @ Boise State | 16–18 | 28.8–31.1 | 0.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Kansas State | 44–31 | 34.3–21.6 | 0.3 |
| Week 5 | vs Baylor | 36–35 | 29.0–35.0 | 7.0 |
| Week 6 | @ Kansas | 51–22 | 35.7–30.6 | 23.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Oklahoma | 31–29 | 40.0–22.0 | 16.0 |
| Week 9 | vs West Virginia | 41–28 | 31.5–30.0 | 11.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Cincinnati | 26–28 | 30.0–30.3 | 1.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Oklahoma State | 3–45 | 32.5–29.6 | 44.9 |
| Week 12 | @ Texas Tech | 24–23 | 32.3–27.4 | 3.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Houston | 13–27 | 27.7–35.1 | 6.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia Tech | 30–17 | 21.3–32.8 | 24.5 |