UCF
Big 12
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Boise State | 31–36 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Louisville | 42–35 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Navy | 34–30 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs East Carolina | 16–20 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Cincinnati | 56–21 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Memphis | 7–24 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Temple | 7–49 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Tulane | 10–14 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ SMU | 55–28 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs UConn | 17–49 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs South Florida | 13–17 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Florida | 17–29 | — | — |