UCF
Big 12
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Michigan | 51–14 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Maryland | 30–24 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Florida International | 14–53 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ East Carolina | 29–47 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Temple | 26–25 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ UConn | 16–24 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Houston | 31–24 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Tulane | 6–37 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Cincinnati | 3–24 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Tulsa | 35–20 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ South Florida | 48–31 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Arkansas State | 31–13 | — | — |