UCF
Big 12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Jacksonville State | 10–17 | 23.2–34.5 | 4.4 |
| Week 4 | vs North Carolina | 9–34 | 24.2–29.4 | 19.8 |
| Week 5 | @ Kansas State | 34–20 | 27.3–24.0 | 10.7 |
| Week 6 | vs Kansas | 27–20 | 31.8–31.6 | 6.8 |
| Week 7 | @ Cincinnati | 20–11 | 30.7–29.0 | 7.3 |
| Week 8 | vs West Virginia | 13–45 | 24.1–30.5 | 25.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Baylor | 30–3 | 30.9–29.2 | 25.3 |
| Week 11 | vs Houston | 30–27 | 25.1–27.7 | 5.6 |
| Week 12 | @ Texas Tech | 48–9 | 30.6–17.7 | 26.1 |
| Week 13 | vs Oklahoma State | 14–17 | 20.2–34.2 | 11.0 |
| Week 14 | @ BYU | 41–21 | 33.1–18.8 | 5.7 |