Predicted scoreLikely
UCF
18.8
BYU
33.1
BYU win probability: 82%
Margin (BYU − UCF): 14.3 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: UCF 21 – BYU 41 (margin error 5.7, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.