UCF

Big 12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs BYU	27.6–21.4	35%
Week 9	vs Baylor	26.7–24.6	45%
Week 10	@ Kansas	28.4–23.4	38%
Week 11	vs Arizona State	21.3–26.4	63%
Week 12	vs Iowa State	26.6–24.4	45%
Week 13	@ Colorado	24.4–21.4	42%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Bethune-Cookman	6–73	—	—
Week 2	@ Pittsburgh	12–7	31.3–19.4	6.9
Week 3	vs Georgia State	30–44	18.8–34.3	1.5
Week 4	vs TCU	13–21	27.8–24.4	11.5
Week 5	@ Houston	27–17	29.9–25.2	5.3
Week 6	@ Oklahoma State	42–28	27.3–25.0	11.7