2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
UCF @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLean
UCF
21.4
Pittsburgh
29.7
Pittsburgh win probability: 70%
Margin (Pittsburgh − UCF): 8.3 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:26 PM | 8.3 | 51.4 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:26 PM | 8.3 | 51.2 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:33 PM | 8.3 | 51.1 | 70% |