Predicted scoreToss-up
Baylor
27.5
UCF
29.3
UCF win probability: 54%
Margin (UCF − Baylor): 1.8 (80% range -19 to 22)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:07 PM | 1.8 | 56.8 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:59 PM | 1.8 | 56.8 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:06 PM | 1.8 | 56.8 | 54% |