Predicted scoreLean
UCF
25.9
Kansas
32.6
Kansas win probability: 66%
Margin (Kansas − UCF): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.55% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.53% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:15 PM | 6.7 | 58.5 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:21 PM | 6.7 | 58.5 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:01 PM | 6.7 | 58.5 | 66% |