UCF
Big 12
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Sam Houston | 14–45 | 17.5–35.6 | 12.9 |
| Week 3 | @ TCU | 34–35 | 34.3–25.9 | 9.4 |
| Week 5 | vs Colorado | 48–21 | 23.2–37.4 | 41.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Florida | 24–13 | 34.1–28.0 | 4.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Cincinnati | 19–13 | 31.4–32.1 | 6.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Iowa State | 38–35 | 32.9–21.4 | 8.4 |
| Week 9 | vs BYU | 37–24 | 26.7–26.3 | 12.6 |
| Week 10 | vs Arizona | 12–56 | 25.8–33.0 | 36.8 |
| Week 11 | @ Arizona State | 35–31 | 31.5–28.8 | 1.3 |
| Week 13 | @ West Virginia | 31–21 | 29.8–31.8 | 12.0 |
| Week 14 | vs Utah | 28–14 | 21.2–28.8 | 21.5 |