2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium
UCF @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
UCF
31.8
West Virginia
29.8
West Virginia win probability: 45%
Margin (West Virginia − UCF): -2.0 (80% range -24 to 20)
Total: 61.6 (80% range 37 to 88)
Actual: UCF 21 – West Virginia 31 (margin error 12.0, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.