2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 10:30 PM · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Sam Houston @ UCF
Predicted scoreConfident
Sam Houston
17.5
UCF
35.6
UCF win probability: 87%
Margin (UCF − Sam Houston): 18.1 (80% range -3 to 39)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Sam Houston 14 – UCF 45 (margin error 12.9, total error 5.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.