2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 5:00 PM · FBC Mortgage Stadium
West Virginia @ UCF
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
24.1
UCF
30.5
UCF win probability: 65%
Margin (UCF − West Virginia): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: West Virginia 13 – UCF 45 (margin error 25.6, total error 3.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.