2023 Postseason · Dec 22, 2023, 11:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia Tech @ UCF

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia Tech

21.3

UCF

32.8

UCF win probability: 76%

Margin (UCF − Georgia Tech): 11.5 (80% range -9 to 32)

Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Georgia Tech 30 – UCF 17 (margin error 24.5, total error 7.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.