2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

UCF @ Oklahoma

Predicted scoreConfident

UCF

22.0

Oklahoma

40.0

Oklahoma win probability: 86%

Margin (Oklahoma − UCF): 18.0 (80% range -3 to 40)

Total: 61.9 (80% range 38 to 88)

Actual: UCF 29 – Oklahoma 31 (margin error 16.0, total error 1.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.