2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · FBC Mortgage Stadium
West Virginia @ UCF
Predicted scoreToss-up
West Virginia
31.5
UCF
30.0
UCF win probability: 47%
Margin (UCF − West Virginia): -1.5 (80% range -23 to 20)
Total: 61.4 (80% range 37 to 88)
Actual: West Virginia 41 – UCF 28 (margin error 11.5, total error 7.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.53% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.