Arkansas State
Sun Belt
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Tulsa | 24–28 | 27.5–32.3 | 0.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Michigan | 28–18 | 43.2–12.1 | 21.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Iowa State | 52–7 | 37.1–21.6 | 29.5 |
| Week 6 | vs South Alabama | 16–18 | 31.7–29.2 | 4.5 |
| Week 7 | @ Texas State | 41–9 | 34.8–26.1 | 23.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Southern Miss | 28–44 | 25.0–34.1 | 6.9 |
| Week 9 | vs Troy | 31–34 | 30.1–26.9 | 6.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Louisiana | 55–19 | 33.8–26.0 | 28.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Georgia State | 20–27 | 32.4–29.3 | 10.1 |
| Week 13 | vs UL Monroe | 21–28 | 28.8–28.7 | 7.1 |
| Week 14 | vs Old Dominion | 40–32 | 32.0–29.3 | 5.3 |
| Week 1 | @ Bowling Green | 31–38 | 28.7–25.9 | 9.9 |