2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:00 PM · Centennial Bank Stadium

UL Monroe @ Arkansas State

Predicted scoreToss-up

UL Monroe

28.8

Arkansas State

28.7

Arkansas State win probability: 50%

Margin (Arkansas State − UL Monroe): -0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: UL Monroe 21 – Arkansas State 28 (margin error 7.1, total error 8.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.