Arkansas State
Sun Belt
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Arkansas | 56–14 | 38.3–21.3 | 25.0 |
| Week 3 | vs Iowa State | 24–16 | 40.8–17.9 | 14.9 |
| Week 4 | @ Kennesaw State | 28–21 | 26.8–29.6 | 9.8 |
| Week 5 | @ UL Monroe | 28–16 | 31.0–29.2 | 10.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Texas State | 30–31 | 39.7–23.5 | 17.2 |
| Week 8 | @ South Alabama | 14–15 | 36.6–24.2 | 13.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Georgia Southern | 24–34 | 31.0–30.1 | 10.8 |
| Week 10 | @ Troy | 10–23 | 31.4–23.1 | 21.3 |
| Week 11 | vs Southern Miss | 27–21 | 26.9–28.2 | 7.4 |
| Week 13 | vs Louisiana | 34–30 | 27.3–26.2 | 2.9 |
| Week 14 | @ App State | 29–30 | 28.6–27.2 | 2.4 |
| Week 1 | vs Missouri State | 28–34 | 34.0–27.0 | 13.0 |