Arkansas State
Sun Belt
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Memphis | 34.7–21.9 | 22% |
| Week 3 | @ TCU | 39.8–16.9 | 8% |
| Week 4 | vs Kennesaw State | 27.6–27.3 | 49% |
| Week 5 | @ Louisiana | 29.1–23.6 | 37% |
| Week 6 | vs South Alabama | 29.2–27.5 | 46% |
| Week 7 | @ Southern Miss | 28.9–26.3 | 43% |
| Week 8 | vs Georgia State | 25.8–30.7 | 62% |
| Week 10 | vs UL Monroe | 23.0–29.9 | 67% |
| Week 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | 25.7–24.1 | 46% |
| Week 12 | @ Louisiana Tech | 29.4–23.4 | 35% |
| Week 13 | vs Troy | 25.5–24.7 | 48% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.