Arkansas State

Sun Belt

2023 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Past prediction accuracy — 2023

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Oklahoma	73–0	44.0–17.9	46.8
Week 2	vs Memphis	37–3	39.9–20.6	14.7
Week 4	vs Southern Miss	37–44	29.2–25.9	10.3
Week 5	@ Massachusetts	28–52	29.8–31.1	22.7
Week 6	@ Troy	37–3	38.3–18.2	13.9
Week 8	vs Coastal Carolina	27–17	35.3–25.6	0.3
Week 9	@ UL Monroe	24–34	31.5–26.0	15.5
Week 10	vs Louisiana	17–37	37.1–23.6	33.5
Week 11	@ South Alabama	21–14	39.5–19.6	12.9
Week 12	vs Texas State	31–77	31.9–27.1	50.8
Week 13	@ Marshall	35–21	30.0–24.1	8.1
Week 1	@ Northern Illinois	21–19	33.4–32.2	0.8