2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · Centennial Bank Stadium

Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State

Predicted scoreLikely

Coastal Carolina

35.3

Arkansas State

25.6

Arkansas State win probability: 28%

Margin (Arkansas State − Coastal Carolina): -9.7 (80% range -31 to 11)

Total: 60.8 (80% range 37 to 87)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 27 – Arkansas State 17 (margin error 0.3, total error 16.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.